Analyst Says if Silver Dips Below $18, Precious Metal Could ‘Get Absolutely Smoked’ — Morgan Report Founder Expects a Supply Crunch

Analyst Says if Silver Dips Below $18, Precious Metal Could ‘Get Absolutely Smoked’ — Morgan Report Founder Expects a Supply Crunch

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by Jamie Redman
Whereas gold’s been teetering alongside at just below $1,750 per ounce, the value of silver has dropped significantly, sliding 2.33% in worth towards the U.S. greenback over the past 24 hours. Silver has misplaced greater than 28% towards the greenback over the past 165 days or since March 8, 2022. Regardless of the decrease costs, David Morgan, the founding father of The Morgan Report, believes silver is predicted to see a crunch in provide. In ten years’ time, Morgan thinks silver will likely be among the finest investments of the last decade.
Throughout most of 2021 and the second half of 2022, many traders have been centered on belongings like gold and bitcoin. Silver, alternatively, has not carried out as effectively and each silver spot costs and silver mining shares have underperformed the S&P 500.
In February 2021, Bitcoin.com Information reported on the so-called ‘silver squeeze’ sparked by nameless cohorts on the Reddit discussion board r/wallstreetbets. That week, silver soared over $30 an ounce in USD worth, and plenty of treasured metallic sellers mentioned they have been out of inventory.
In 2022, an oz of fantastic silver managed to achieve a excessive of $26.46 per ounce through the second week of March. On March 8, 2022, gold’s value per ounce hit a brand new lifetime excessive because it traded above the $2,070 range.
Silver has misplaced greater than 28% in worth since March 8, as it’s presently coasting alongside at $19 per ounce on Saturday night (EST) on August 20, 2022. Regardless of the numerous losses, the founding father of The Morgan Report, David Morgan, believes silver will see a crunch in provide within the subsequent ten years.
On August 19, 2022, Morgan mentioned silver’s worth with the anchor and producer at Kitco Information David Lin. Within the video printed on Youtube on Friday, Morgan instructed Lin the silver provide may run dry sooner or later. In response to data collected by the Silver Institute, the world’s silver demand will hit a document 1.112 billion ounces in 2022.
“[USGS] mentioned that silver could be the primary aspect on the periodic desk that will be in such brief provide, and that was a number of years again,” Morgan detailed. “Simply the economic facet alone might be going to take all of the silver out there sooner or later in time.”
The valuable metals analyst added:
In the event you’ve received a very long time horizon, like ten years or extra, I can’t consider one thing that will be higher than a silver funding. Silver will shine sooner or later … but it surely’s in all probability going to take a pure nook … a pure nook is when business alone sucks up all of the silver that’s out there and there isn’t any left.
Nonetheless, within the brief time period, fxempire.com’s treasured metals analyst Christopher Lewis envisions silver dipping under $18 per ounce. Lewis says there’s a gap in the silver futures market, and he believes the hole will likely be stuffed within the close to future.
“At this level, it appears like we are going to fill the hole reasonably quickly, maybe right down to the $18.50 stage. If we break it down under there, then the $18 stage can also be essential, as it’s a massive, spherical, psychologically vital determine, and an space the place we now have lately seen quite a lot of help.” Lewis’s technical analysis report continues:
Finally, this can be a market that I believe continues to see quite a lot of downward strain, and if we will break down under the $18.00 stage, that in all probability kicks off the following nice leg decrease. In that situation, it’s very potential that we may see silver get completely smoked.
Throughout Morgan’s interview, he famous that silver typically stems from base metal mining and mentioned the availability will shrink from that sector as effectively. “Seventy p.c of silver is a results of base metallic mining — If that’s down, and down noticeably, then that takes a substantial amount of silver provide off the market,” Morgan mentioned to Lin.
On the finish of Might, reports detailed that silver demand would swell by 5% this yr and jewellery demand was forecast to grow 11% in 2022. Though, regardless of macroeconomic uncertainties from the conflict and the world’s inflationary pressures, silver has underperformed as a secure haven asset.
In actual fact, through the pandemic in 2020 merceradvisors.com’s Donald Calcagni printed a scathing paper on how “silver has not been a constant hedge towards inflation or a secure, dependable retailer of worth.” The identical has been mentioned about gold this yr as research reveals that gold has “an especially low correlation to inflation.”
Bitcoin (BTC) has additionally proven a low correlation to inflationary pressures and in 2022, data shows the main crypto asset has been correlated with stocks. Talking with Lin throughout his interview on Friday, Morgan urged silver will likely be among the finest investments of the last decade.
The valuable metals analyst opined that he believes the economic world will at all times demand silver. “Nothing displays gentle in addition to silver, and nothing conducts electrical energy in addition to silver,” Morgan burdened through the interview. “Most silver purposes are completely important and irreplaceable. There is no such thing as a substitute.”
What do you consider silver’s vital decline since March 8 and the latest 24-hour losses? What do you consider David Morgan’s opinion concerning the future worth of silver? Tell us what you consider this topic within the feedback part under.
Jamie Redman is the Information Lead at Bitcoin.com Information and a monetary tech journalist dwelling in Florida. Redman has been an energetic member of the cryptocurrency group since 2011. He has a ardour for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized purposes. Since September 2015, Redman has written greater than 5,700 articles for Bitcoin.com Information concerning the disruptive protocols rising right now.

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